Obama at 49 percent, Romney 46 percent nine days before election

[Bixbyte]

(Reuters) - President Barack Obama has extended his narrow lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney among likely voters in a race that remains statistically tied nine days before the election, according to a Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll released on Sunday.

Obama has a 49 percent to 46 percent edge over Romney, marking a 1 point increase from Saturday but still within the daily online survey's 4 percentage-point credibility interval for likely voters.

Swings could be possible in the remaining days of the campaign, however. Fifteen percent of registered voters say they could still change their minds and vote for a different candidate.

The precision of Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points for likely voters.

Obama at 49 percent, Romney 46 percent nine days before election: Reuters/Ipsos poll | Reuters

[hkp]

Ok.

[2happy4u]

Not looking good for the incumbent to be so low in the polls with 9 days left. It's pretty much over for Obama.

[Giavella Water]

Since it's so close, it really looks good for Romney because of the silent majority that always comes in at the end for the Republican.

[Marquis]

It will be 2008 all over again!

[jdhill]

(Reuters) - President Barack Obama has extended his narrow lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney among likely voters in a race that remains statistically tied nine days before the election, according to a Reuters/Ipsos tracking poll released on Sunday.

Obama has a 49 percent to 46 percent edge over Romney, marking a 1 point increase from Saturday but still within the daily online survey's 4 percentage-point credibility interval for likely voters.

Swings could be possible in the remaining days of the campaign, however. Fifteen percent of registered voters say they could still change their minds and vote for a different candidate.

The precision of Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 4.0 percentage points for likely voters.

Obama at 49 percent, Romney 46 percent nine days before election: Reuters/Ipsos poll | Reuters

Something quite odd about this story. Reuters.com has an section for Election 2012 under the politics tab. It includes the following information:

"Since January, Reuters/Ipsos has polled 11,000 people each month about the presidential race and other issues. Click here to learn how to search this database."

So I clicked, and looked at data for "Selection of President", which shows an entirely different story. For week ending 9/30, Reuters Ipsos had Obama +7.2. For week ending 10/28, it has Romney is +0.4. I can't find where the 49-46 comes from.

Also worth noting, Reuters/Ipsos final 2008 poll for president had Obama up 13.1%. He won by 7.6%, overstating Obama's victory by 5.5%. Not very impressive.

[AsYouWere]

Just checked what the big UK oddsmaker Ladbrokes is saying and it hasn't changed much. Obama still the clear favorite at 1/3 while Romney's at 11/5.
Ladbrokes also showing Obama the clear winner for electoral votes.


Still a tight race.2012 US Presidential Race Betting Odds |Bet at Ladbrokes.com